(This is the whole lesson.)
“We stress-test a deal to make sure it can still pay the lender even if rents drop and taxes go up.
If it still pays easily, the deal is safe.
If it can’t, we don’t buy it.”
Stop there.
That’s the concept.
“The building makes 1.87 million a year after expenses.”
Write this on the board:
NOI = 1,867,000
“The lender gets interest only.”
Loan:
Loan = 7,680,000
Rate = 8%
Yearly payment:
7,680,000 × 8% = 614,400
Say:
“We owe the lender 614 thousand per year.”
1,867,000 ÷ 614,400 ≈ 3
Say:
“That means the building makes three times what it needs to pay the lender.”
That’s DSCR.
Don’t say DSCR yet.
Say:
“Let’s pretend we lose one dollar out of every ten.”
Math:
1,867,000 × 90% = 1,680,000
Check again:
1,680,000 ÷ 614,400 ≈ 2.7
Say:
“Even after losing money, it still pays the lender almost three times.”
Say:
“Let’s pretend taxes cost 450 thousand a year.”
Math:
1,867,000 − 450,000 = 1,417,000
Check again:
1,417,000 ÷ 614,400 ≈ 2.3
Say:
“Even after taxes, it still pays the lender more than twice.”
Say:
“Now let’s pretend both things happen at the same time.”
Math:
1,680,000 − 450,000 = 1,230,000
Check again:
1,230,000 ÷ 614,400 ≈ 2.0
Say:
“Even on a bad day, it still pays the lender two times.”
Say this slowly:
“If a deal can pay the lender two times or more on a bad day,
it’s a real deal.
If it only works on a good day, we walk.”
Your answer:
“Because hope is not a strategy.
Structure is.”
Once they understand, you can add:
“That’s called stress testing and DSCR.
But all it really means is: can the deal breathe under pressure?”